Justin Martin of Multnomah
2020 draft age: 22
Measurements: 5’8” / 162lb
Advanced Stats: 24.3 AST% / 2.4 REB% / 2.2 STL% / 0.0 BLK%
58.2 TS% on 39.5 USG%
Background: Played NAIA D2 at Multnomah University… Led the nation in scoring two years in a row… Has the 2 out of the top 3 highest scoring games in NAIA D2 history (74pts and 71pts)… Had 11 games at MU with at least 8 made 3’s… Played his first two seasons at a JUCO in Oregon… His dad is 6’0” and his mom is 4’9”…
Personality: Intelligent player who recognizes where he needs to improve… reads P&R coverages well… Improved as a facilitator his senior year… hard working player who went from averaging 9 PPG in high school to 34 PPG in college… High basketball IQ…
Injury History: Missed 3 games in January due to patella tendonitis…
Athleticism: Put on 12 pounds of muscle this year… extremely undersized… doesn’t offer much in terms of verticality… decent lateral quickness, can typically stay in front of his man…
Projected Fit: Ball Dominant 1 / High Volume Scorer
Projected Draft Landing: International
High: He puts up large scoring outbursts while creating for others in the P&R. He plays off the ball at times and becomes a lethal shooter off screens. Defensively, he puts on some weight and shows effort. He isn’t a positive player on the defensive end, but also doesn’t hurt his team. He could play in top European leagues such as Euroleague or Liga ACB, or even see some time in the G League.
Medium: Martin plays the majority of his career in the top division of a smaller European league, possibly Greek or Italian leagues. He consistently shows off on the offensive end with high volume and efficient scoring. He is a lead guard that can play off the ball at times. He doesn’t provide any value on the defensive end, but his offense is enough to offset that. He plays at least a decade in Europe.
Low: Martin bounces around in small leagues. He doesn’t stick in Europe and plays on one year contracts for the majority of his career. He is a draw to smaller leagues due to their lack of defense and size. He doesn’t show much improvement on the defensive end and spends most of his energy on offense. He is a ball dominant guard with little playmaking ability, that puts up huge scoring numbers.
Shooting: Martin’s elite skill is his ability to shoot the ball. He made 302 shots from three point range in his two years at Multnomah. His 159 three pointers made during his junior year is 3rd all time in NAIA D2 history. He had 11 games over his last two seasons with at least 8 three pointers made. Martin may take some ill advised shots, but he had a 3 point rate of 52.9% during his senior year. This shows a good balance between taking shots from deep and attacking the basket. He also showed solid efficiency on his gigantic sample size, putting up a true shooting percentage of 58.2%. Martin takes and makes difficult shots, with many of his jumpers being from at least 30 feet from the basket. He shows an ability to shoot off the dribble that is on par with NBA stars such as Kyle Lowry. Over 35% of his possessions were in isolation, and he showed his ability to create his own shot in these situations. Martin knows how and when to take advantage of a defensive mismatch, getting defensive bigs off balance and creating space for his shot. His release varies on his jumper, but this has more to do with beating closeouts, shooting off movement, and his shooting rhythm. He has a great sense of balance when taking jumpers. He knows how to alter his shot based on the direction he’s moving and where his center of gravity is. Martin increased both his free throw rate and free throw percentage from his junior to senior year. His FTr increased from 22.8% to 26.5% (+3.7%) while his FT% increased from 78.8% to 84.2% (+5.4%).
Pick and Roll: Martin is good as a P&R ball handler. Multnomah ran the majority of their P&Rs in space. This helped out Martin a lot and shows how he can operate a P&R at the pro level. He shows the ability to shoot from behind screens when his man goes under, even from 30-35 feet. Typically his shooting ability forces the defense to switch or to go over screens. In switching situations, he goes straight to getting the big man off balance and taking his shot. He does a good job of recognizing when his man goes over and going downhill immediately.
Passing: Martin is a good passer that can make tough reads. He looks to push the ball up the floor in transition with the pass. He had an AST/TO ratio of 2.1:1 this year. He is consistent with kicking out to wings on drives to the rim. One part of his passing that makes me worry is that some of his reads at Multnomah were too easy. He ran a lot of P&P, and got a lot of assists from just rotating the ball to the wide open big. His assists numbers feel inflated by his play style.
Areas of Improvement:
Shot Selection: This could be a result of Multnomah’s game plan, but Martin took some bad shots. To be fair, he did make a ton of them, but a lot of jumpers were objectively bad looks. During my sit down with Martin, he did address this concern and said that it was due to team style. He acknowledged how quick some of his shot attempts were before I even brought it up. His lack of size also made most shots around the rim into bad shots. He didn’t face a ton of length in his league, which allowed him to finish some, but that won’t last at the professional level. He needs to understand that and pull up for more floaters instead of attacking the rim.
Ball Handle: Martin has a decent handle, but keeps it rather high and loose. He can get stripped easily in traffic. Most of his turnovers came from trying to create plays with his ball handling ability. He has very good functional ball handling though. He uses footwork and ball fakes well when he is under control, but tries to play hero ball at times and create shots with dribble combos. His handle has improved during his time at Multnomah as his time as an on-ball player has increased.
Fundamentals: Martin is a fundamentally sound defensive player when he is on the ball. He knows how to body up when his man is attacking the basket. He has a low center of gravity and knows how to recover when he gets beat. He doesn’t jump on pump fakes very often and doesn’t go out of his way to gamble for steals. He is an intelligent defender who understands his flaws on this end of the floor. In off ball settings, he does a good job of splitting the ball and his man. He recognizes when to shoot gaps on screening actions and when to trail.
Quickness: Martin relies on his agility to create steals. He can’t rely on his athleticism to gamble for steals, but instead create plays with his foot and hand speed. His 2.2 STL% is solid, especially for an undersized guard. His foot speed also helps him stay in front of players driving to the basket. He does a good job of recovering to his man in roving situations. He can show his defensive ability more at the next level because he won’t be playing 39 minutes per game.
Areas of Improvement:
Size: Martin is absolutely undersized, but he does have a solid frame for his height. He has broad shoulders and a solid lower body. He will struggle to guard man to man for a full game. Teams will put him in P&R situations constantly to force him to switch or make him get through screens from substantially bigger players. He will have to improve as a P&R defender in order to get out of guarding on ball situations every defensive possession. His length is a problem when he is switched onto a bigger player with the ability to post up. Some fadeaway jumpers he legitimately contested appeared wide open because he couldn’t get close to the release of the ball. He got called for a lot of touch fouls in his league, but the extra physicality allowed in professional leagues may give him some leeway.
Team Defense: Martin struggles playing off ball at times due to his habit of watching the ball. He seems lackadaisical and loses sight of his man, especially when there is an offball action happening with his man. He isn’t much of a playmaker on the defensive end, only getting steals when they are presented to him. Multnomah ran a matchup 2-3 zone a lot, and Martin was typically a stagnant player on the defensive end, using this end of the floor to conserve energy. To be fair, he did have a huge role on the offensive end of the floor. We didn’t get to see a ton of Martin playing on the ball, so the jury is still out there.
Martin is a top tier shooter at any level of professional basketball. He is an elite shooter off the dribble that has shown efficiency and volume over his two seasons at Multnomah. He will find more playing time if he is willing to play off the ball. He is a decent playmaker that has really good passing vision. His ball handling is flashy, but he shows more pro-potential when he is getting his shot off of one to two dribbles max. Defensively, he just needs to get to the point of not being a defensive liability. He won’t be a plus defensive player, but it will help if he cuts down on his mental mistakes and adds more muscle to his frame.