First of all, as a brief opening word I would like to welcome on Brayden Epp a brilliant mind that has come on board to Advance Pro Basketball as an Author and will be doing lots of work for the organization in terms of posting added information.
With the above said please find our break down of most if not all the Euroleague Final Four players that will be competing to get a share of the glory this weekend in Istanbul.
First off, I would like to share the team based advanced stats of all four teams.
Furthermore, below are the player based advanced statistics that give a bit more of a detailed analysis on how they have preformed so far during the season and the EL playoffs so far.
We hope that you enjoy this weekend which looks like a great event so far and hopes to generate lots of buzz.
Based on information shared by the Euroleague so far for the first time ever SportsVU data will be made available to media and the public after the event is completed so it should be an exciting time up ahead with more precise data to be able to revisit and help in basketball analytics in Europe for the future.
Five factors were found to significantly affect a team’s win percentage: Field Goals Made/40 mins, Points per Game/40 mins, Assists per Game/40 mins, Offensive Rating, and Floor Impact Counter/40 mins. The most glaring stats among the four teams is the difference in offensive ratings and FIC40. Since defence statistically has no effect on winning, these two variables will be the main drivers of success this weekend.
In semi-final 1, Real Madrid goes up against Fenebahçe Istanbul. Real Madrid is better than Fenebahçe in every category and total is 12% better than their opponent. Since Real Madrid is better in every category, they should have no problem closing out this game and advancing to the final.
Prediction: Real Madrid wins 78-69
Semi-Final 2 pits CSKA Moscow against Olympiacos Pilaeus. Similarly to semi-final 1, the result here should never be in doubt as CSKA Moscow is better than Olympiacos in each category, while also being 11% better total.
Prediction: CSKA Moscow wins 74-66
The final should be much more competitive than the semi-finals. Real Madrid has better numbers in 80% of the variables compared to CSKA Moscow and therefore has a statistical advantage. However, Real Madrid as a team is only 2.3% better than their opponent meaning that this game could come down to the final shot.
Prediction: Real Madrid wins 84-82
Real Madrid will be the champions of the tournament after missing the tournament last year and will capture their second title in the last 3 seasons.