The force that is unstoppable?! – Berkan Durmaz a rising star

Back in 2015 when he jumped out of the wood work of the Tofaş youth development system it was obvious that the then budding PF would make more than just a splash in basketball. To be honest I first came across this young man back in 2013 while he played for the U16 Turkish national team where he impacted the team not just on the court but made a major contribution on the bench as he has a real high basketball IQ that allows him to explain things to his teammates with ease.

This year Berkan had an opportunity to not just develop while playing the the top league in Turkey the Basketball Super League (BSL) but he also was granted a secondary license that allowed him to play in the second league the Turkish Basketball league (TBL) with Bakırköy Basket for a certain number of games.

This experience allowed Berkan to grow on the court all too naturally. His only downfall was an injury he sustained that sidelined him for a few games during the middle of the season.

A Glimpse at his numbers (02.05.2018 – 11.02.2018)

Berkan is a unique big man that has qualities that puts him in a Mehmet Okur type class, not only does he have the fundamental skills down but his range of shooting as well as effectivity on defense make him a threat on the court at all times if he is not covered.


His skills in the footage:

Offensive skills:

Defensive skills:

End Result

Berkan so far has made two attempts to enter the NBA Draft once back in 2017 when he withdrew and is also entering the draft this summer as well, at the age of 21, my thoughts after having scouted him across +20 games, I think its safe to say that his ideal case should happen next year at the 2019 NBA Draft.

Key areas of improvement that need work:

  • footwork
  • speed
  • agility
  • quicker ball release
  • more catch & shoot play involvement

Key plus sides

  • Big body bigger – shooting range
  • Easily reads opponents & reacts defensively
  • Perimeter defender & weak side helper all in one
  • persistent on both ends of the court
  • good passer

* We’d love to do more scouting reports that bring sound feel free to email me at

We’d also like to see donations from you our dear followers:

Euroleague Playoffs – Road to Belgrade 2018 – A regression based analysis

This has been an extremely busy season for us at Advance Pro BAsketball. We have been assisting several key teams with various competitions across Europe. All the while we also have been keeping an eye out on the top competition, the pearl of Europe so to say, the “Euroleague” and now as we draw a close to the regular season and head into the playoffs. We did a bit of regression calculation and came up with the following outcomes. While these results can potentially be updated on a per result basis we wanted to give a bit of a practical outcome visualisation for our followers and those that follow the Euroleague.

At this point we would like to thank the guys over at OVERBASKET for an amazing job on following up the data coming out of the play by play information and turning it into a visual extravaganza. On our end here at Advance Pro Basketball we were frankly a bit disappointed at the overall results that Anadolu Efes got and ended up with. 7 – 23 games and ending up 16th overall in the competition. Putting all emotional input aside. There were some amazing youngsters that we saw emerging out of the competition as well. No one can second guess that Luca Doncic will be heading over to the NBA next season as he ended up being the most viable youngster starting 20 games for Real Madrid in the EL. Check out the Top 5 qualified players based on PER standings as of last week:

Player Efficiency Rating
Arturas Gudaitis     25.5
Luka Doncic            24.5
Vladimir Stimac       24.1
Nando De Colo       24.0
James Augustine    22.9

A side note needs to be set in place that the young Lithuanian Arturas Gudaitis while still an improving center, he has managed to play more minutes this season +500 than his first two seasons at Zalgiris (+370 both seasons combined) and he has been amazing both offensively and defensively for the Italian team scoring +270 points with 29 blocks and 16 steals so far. I see him heading over to the NBA in no time as well.

The Playoff Standings

Like a lot of my colleagues and peers I should point out that the above regression model does not take into account any regular weights or recent game W/L situations and definitely therefore should not be used in any BETTING cases!

With the above out of the way, I would like to point out that we do not play favoritism at Advance Pro Basketball however given their recent streak and the ability to shut down games Real Madrid vs. CSKA would be a lovely Finals matchup to have. All too naturally we can not count out last year’s champions Fenerbahçe Doğuş. I am torn though weather Baskonia or Zalgiris will be one of the remaining final four candidates. Yet again, I would be remiss to state that all the remaining teams have more than a chance and a fight in them to be able to make it to Belgrade.

Lets all enjoy the playoffs for the time being and see which teams do come up with a couple of surprise wins along the way!

Much love you all!

Ermay Duran

Advance Pro Basketball

BCL 17 – 18 Playoff Predictions by The Athlytics Blog

If the regular season serves as an indicator for what we will see in the playofss, we are certainly in for a treat! With the playoffs for the Basketball Champions League right around the corner, we make our predictions – that will keep being updated as the playoffs progress. First we start with the final […]

via Basketball Champions League Predictions: Playoffs 2017-18 — The Athlytics Blog

Basketball Lineup Ratings: a Bayesian Adjustment Approach punched up by The Athlytics Blog

Evaluating lineups has traditionally been one of the tasks that “analytics” are commissioned with in basketball (and other sports with frequent substitutions). 5, 3 and 2 men lineups are typically analyzed, with the latter two offering a larger sample to work with. The metric that is typically utilized to evaluate the performance of a lineup […]

via Basketball Lineup Ratings: a Bayesian Adjustment Approach — The Athlytics Blog

Offensive and Defensive Efficiency in Basketball Champions League taken from The Athlytics Blog

A recent article described how the volume of three-point shots taken in the Basketball Champions League (BCL) has shown an increasing trend – in alignment with the trend in the NBA that has been observed for several years now and has coincided with the ascent of the analytics movement in the sport. The analytical explanation of […]

via Offensive and Defensive Efficiency in Basketball Champions League — The Athlytics Blog

Usage and Efficiency by Justin Jacobs of Squared Statistics

The usage of an NBA player consists of the number of chances a player takes out of the possible chances a team has when that player is on the court. A chance being the number of possessions that can result in a scoring possession. The higher the usage for a particular player, the more likely […]

via Usage and Efficiency — Squared Statistics: Understanding Basketball Analytics

Defensive Ratings: Estimation vs. Counting by Squared Statistics: Understanding Basketball Analytics

Defensive rating, a box score calculation, is an estimation procedure that attempts to identify the points per 100 possessions that an NBA player yields in a game. In this calculation, a player’s defensive rating is effectively eighty percent of their team’s defensive rating plus twenty percent of defensive points per scoring possessions when on the […]

via Defensive Ratings: Estimation vs. Counting — Squared Statistics: Understanding Basketball Analytics

Kinematics of Player Motion by Squared Statistics

After a couple special topics posts in Sketching and Voronoi Tessellation, we take a step back and look at the basic mechanics of player motion: position, velocity, and acceleration. Understanding computation and estimation of such quantities allow us to perform more important calculations such as trajectories, coverage, and crashing. The easiest way to capture these […]

via Kinematics of Player Motion — Squared Statistics: Understanding Basketball Analytics

The Art of Sketching: Trajectory Analysis by Squared Statistics


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In a recent 2017 paper posted by Andrew Miller (Harvard University / Philadelphia 76ers) and Luke Bornn (Simon Fraser University / Sacramento Kings) titled “Possession Sketches: Mapping NBA Strategies,” the duo takes a well-known manifold learning technique called trajectory analysis and develops a methodology of classifying NBA actions through the use of functional mapping of […]

via The Art of Sketching: Trajectory Analysis — Squared Statistics: Understanding Basketball Analytics